week of Sep 28 · SST 84–85°F

Gulf of Mexico — this week

SST 84–85°F · Cobia, Crevalle Jack, Florida Pompano prime. Live MUR satellite water temperatures (change is vs. seven days ago). Tap any spot on the chart with Fish mode on for a point-by-point breakdown.

Water temperature — south to north

SpotNowWeek Δ
South Padre 85°F +0.2°F
Galveston 85°F -2°F
Venice 84°F -0.2°F
Destin 84°F -1.4°F
Tampa 84°F -2.2°F

Migration line — weekly movement

SpeciesPrime water reachTrend
Mahi-Mahi prime water reaches Tampa steady
Yellowfin Tuna prime water reaches Tampa steady
King Mackerel prime water reaches Tampa steady
Cobia prime water reaches Tampa steady
Wahoo prime water reaches Tampa steady
The northernmost sampled spot whose water sits in the species' habitable band, now vs. a week ago. Fish follow temperature — this is the leading edge, not a sighting report.

In season now — temperature fit

SpeciesFitPrimeMeasured atTechnique
Cobia 100 70–84°F surface Sight-cast jigs or eels to fish on buoys, rays, wrecks and channel markers.
Crevalle Jack 100 70–86°F surface Throw a big topwater into a busting school and hold on — pound for pound the hardest pull inshore.
Florida Pompano 100 68–84°F surface Sand fleas on a pompano rig in the surf trough — they follow the wash on a moving tide.
Permit 100 75–88°F surface Live crabs sight-cast on flats; over wrecks in summer.
Common Snook 100 73–88°F surface Live bait or swimbaits on mangrove edges, dock lights and pass current seams.
Spotted Seatrout 100 64–84°F surface Popping cork with shrimp over grass flats and potholes at first light.
Tripletail 100 73–86°F surface Sight-cast live shrimp to fish laid up under floats and markers.
Blackfin Tuna 100 72–84°F surface Small jigs or live pilchards over humps at dawn; chum behind shrimpers.
Blue Marlin 100 77–86°F surface Large trolled lures over canyons, seamounts and the continental shelf edge.
Great Barracuda 100 73–86°F surface A fast tube lure ripped across the flat or the wreck — they will not chase anything slow.
King Mackerel 100 70–84°F surface Slow-troll live bait over reefs, wrecks and bait schools; wire leader.
Mahi-Mahi 100 75–86°F surface Run and gun to weedlines, boards and birds; pitch ballyhoo or jigs.
Wahoo 100 73–84°F surface High-speed troll (12-16 kt) with weighted lures over ledges and color changes.
Yellowfin Tuna 100 72–84°F surface Troll skirted lures on blue-water edges, rips and canyon walls; chunk at night.
Named grounds in Gulf of Mexico
Method: habitat-envelope scoring against live NOAA MUR SST at the sampled spots; season windows and envelopes hand-curated from NOAA Fisheries profiles. No catch hearsay — when it says a species fits, it means the water does.

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