Chart / Storms

Tropical Storm Marie

Archived — final advisory 29 · 200 AM PDT Tue Sep 08 2026 · complete life replay
This storm is no longer active. This page is its permanent record: the complete observed track, peak intensity, the final NHC forecast cone, and the last advisories as issued.
2 85
kt at peak
967
mb minimum
9.8
days tracked
0
vessels in final cone
Intensity over the storm's life — NHC best track
Sustained wind (kt, solid) and central pressure (mb, dashed) from the ATCF best track. Bands mark tropical-storm and hurricane category thresholds.
Final NHC Statements
Public Advisory (final captured)
630 
WTPZ33 KNHC 081437
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Marie Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP132026
800 AM PDT Tue Sep 08 2026
 
...MARIE BECOMES A POST TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 127.4W
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
ABOUT 780 MI...1260 KM SW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Marie
was located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 127.4 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h) and is forecast to turn to the northwest over the next 
day or so. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady weakening is expected to continue, and Marie is forecast to 
dissipate in a couple of days. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Marie will continue to affect portions of
the coast of the Baja California Peninsula and southern California
for the next couple of days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current
risk for the United States can be found at:
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low 
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and 
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
$$
Forecaster Evans/Kelly
Forecast Discussion — the forecaster's reasoning
000
WTPZ43 KNHC 081439
TCDEP3
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Marie Discussion Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP132026
800 AM PDT Tue Sep 08 2026

Marie's satellite presentation has degraded since the previous 
advisory. Infrared satellite imagery depicts very weak remnant 
convection in the southeast quadrant, while visible imagery shows 
that Marie's low-level center is exposed. The latest subjective 
Dvorak estimate from TAFB classified Marie's intensity as 30 kt, 
while objective analysis from UW-CIMSS generally ranged from 25-36 
kt. Given the most recent satellite trends, Marie's initial 
intensity has been lowered to 35 kt. The storm is now classified as 
a post-tropical cyclone due to a lack of deep convection.

The initial motion was estimated at 300/8 kt. Marie is expected to 
turn more northwestward as it finds itself wedged between a cutoff 
low descending from the northeast Pacific and a high pressure system 
centered over the southwestern US. Little was changed to the most 
recent NHC track forecast, which reflects only a slight leftward 
shift to bring the official track slightly closer to HCCA. 

Marie is forecast to weaken and dissipate in the next couple of days 
as the system moves over progressively cooler SSTs and into a drier 
airmass. The latest intensity forecast moved up dissipation time 
slightly due to Marie's current rate of weakening following the 
latest model trends.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on 
this system. For additional information on the remnant low please 
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web 
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  08/1500Z 25.8N 127.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  09/0000Z 26.8N 128.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  09/1200Z 28.7N 129.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  10/0000Z 31.2N 131.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Evans/Kelly
Data & citation
Transit counts are gate-line crossings computed hourly from ChartNav's own live AIS network (terrestrial receivers; coverage varies by zone — the coverage figure above says how complete the picture is, and reporting gaps are only flagged for vessels that were underway and stopped reporting globally). Baselines are rolling medians of complete days. Numbers may differ from weekly satellite-AIS datasets such as IMF PortWatch, which lag by several days but see areas terrestrial receivers cannot.