Chart / Storms

Tropical Depression Fay

Archived — final advisory 38 · 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026 · complete life replay
This storm is no longer active. This page is its permanent record: the complete observed track, peak intensity, the final NHC forecast cone, and the last advisories as issued.
S 60
kt at peak
995
mb minimum
12.3
days tracked
0
vessels in final cone
Intensity over the storm's life — NHC best track
Sustained wind (kt, solid) and central pressure (mb, dashed) from the ATCF best track. Bands mark tropical-storm and hurricane category thresholds.
Final NHC Statements
Public Advisory (final captured)
000
WTNT31 KNHC 292033
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Advisory Number  39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
500 PM AST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
...FAY BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 48.2W
ABOUT 1590 MI...2560 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay 
was located near latitude 23.7 North, longitude 48.2 West. The 
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-southwest near 12 
mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next 
couple of days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Little change in strength is forecast, and Fay is forecast to 
dissipate in a day or so.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Forecast Discussion — the forecaster's reasoning
000
WTNT41 KNHC 292034
TCDAT1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Discussion Number  39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
500 PM AST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
Fay's time as a tropical cyclone has faded away. An earlier 
scatterometer pass showed that the system had weakened with maximum 
winds around 25 kt, and that the low-level center was becoming less 
defined. While occasional bursts of convection may continue, the 
convection has not been organized in several hours. Thus, the system 
is being designated as a post-tropical cyclone with an initial 
intensity of 25 kt.
 
The post-tropical cyclone will continue to move generally 
west-southwestward at around 10 kt, steered along the southern 
periphery of the mid-level ridge located over the central Atlantic. 
The system should continue to gradually weaken and is expected to 
dissipate into an open trough in about a day or so. The latest NHC 
track and intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory and 
lies near the latest consensus aids.
 
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  29/2100Z 23.7N  48.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  30/0600Z 23.1N  49.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  30/1800Z 22.7N  52.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  01/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Data & citation
Transit counts are gate-line crossings computed hourly from ChartNav's own live AIS network (terrestrial receivers; coverage varies by zone — the coverage figure above says how complete the picture is, and reporting gaps are only flagged for vessels that were underway and stopped reporting globally). Baselines are rolling medians of complete days. Numbers may differ from weekly satellite-AIS datasets such as IMF PortWatch, which lag by several days but see areas terrestrial receivers cannot.